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| Demonstration Type: | Expedited Reunification Services1 |
| Approval Date: | June 30, 2005 |
| Implementation Date: | April 17, 2006 |
| Expected Completion Date: | March 31, 2011 |
| Interim Evaluation Report Expected: | November 30, 2008 |
| Final Evaluation Report Expected: | September 30, 2011 |
The target population for Arizona's demonstration includes title IV-E-eligible and non-IV-E-eligible children (1) in out-of-home placement for no more than nine months in a congregate or licensed foster care setting (e.g., shelter facilities, group homes, residential placements, and licensed foster homes); (2) for whom reunification is the case plan goal; (3) whose caregivers agree to participate in the waiver demonstration; and (4) for whom a juvenile court concurs with a plan of expedited reunification.
Arizona's demonstration involves two project phases. Phase I was implemented for a 15-month period in randomly selected Child Protective Services (CPS) units in the Mesa, Thunderbird, and Tempe Child Welfare Offices in Maricopa County. Phase II began in January 2008 and expanded the demonstration to three additional offices in Maricopa County: Avondale, Glendale, and Talavi.
Arizona's demonstration is testing innovative child welfare services that focus on expediting reunification for children in congregate and licensed foster care settings. Participants in the waiver demonstration have access to a variety of services:
Arizona's evaluation is testing the hypothesis that intensive home-based early reunification services will (1) reduce children's length of stay in congregate and licensed foster care settings; (2) decrease the likelihood of re-entry into out-of-home care; (3) prevent the recurrence of child abuse and neglect; and (4) improve family well-being and functioning. The State's evaluation approach in Phase I involved a modified comparison group design in which CPS units in the three Maricopa County CPS offices—Mesa, Thunderbird, and Tempe—were randomly selected to serve as experimental and control groups. Within each of the three participating CPS offices, the State chose two case management units to comprise the experimental group and one case management unit to serve as the control group.
At the onset of the project's implementation, existing cases from CPS units in the experimental group that met the demonstration's eligibility criteria were offered enhanced demonstration services. A matching group of comparison cases receiving "traditional services" were selected based on case and demographic characteristics that most closely matched those of the existing experimental group cases. New child protection cases were then randomly assigned to CPS units in either the experimental or control group; cases assigned to the experimental group received enhanced services, while cases assigned to the control group received a standard set of traditional child welfare services. The original purpose behind this approach was to minimize contamination of the research design that might occur if CPS workers carried mixed caseloads of experimental and control cases.
During the implementation in Phase I, contamination became a less serious issue because most enhanced waiver services are provided to families by contracted service providers rather than by the CPS workers themselves. Based on this observation and the preliminary evaluation findings from Phase I, the State eliminated the distinction between experimental and control CPS units for Phase II and now uses a standard experimental design in which new cases are randomly assigned to an experimental condition (eligible for enhanced waiver services) or to a control condition (ineligible for enhanced services). In addition, the sample for Phase II will not include children already in out-of-home placement (the existing case cohort) but will be limited to new CPS cases.
Sample Size
For Phase I, the State estimated that approximately 250 existing cases would be assigned to the experimental group at the start of the demonstration. However, at the project's onset, out of 357 potential cases, only 64 existing cases were found eligible based on screening criteria developed during the initial planning stage. The primary reason for the difference between estimated and actual cases assigned to the experimental condition was the initiation of a district-wide effort to reduce the number of children in congregate care settings through placements with unlicensed relatives. The success of this initiative significantly reduced the pool of children eligible to participate in Arizona's waiver demonstration.
For Phase II, the State estimates that approximately 20 cases will be randomly assigned each month across the six demonstration sites. Of these 20 cases, ten will be assigned to the experimental group and ten will be assigned to the comparison group. Overall, the State estimates that 800 cases will be served over the remaining years of the waiver.
Process Evaluation
Arizona's evaluation includes interim and final process evaluations that describe how the demonstration was implemented and how enhanced services differed from traditional services received by families in the control group. Questions addressed by the process evaluation include the following:
As part of the process evaluation, Arizona's evaluation contractors are conducting site visits to complete formal interviews with social workers and supervisors in participating CPS offices, as well as with staff from contracted service providers involved in the delivery of intensive reunification services. In addition, the evaluation team is reviewing a sample of case files to obtain information regarding the case planning process, services needed and provided, and the involvement of the family and child in permanency decision making. Annual focus groups with caregivers are also conducted.
Outcome Evaluation
Arizona's outcome evaluation compares the experimental and control groups for significant differences in the following outcome measures:
In conducting its analysis, Arizona's evaluation contractor is examining differences in outcomes by various subgroups (e.g., child age and presenting problems).
Cost Analysis
Arizona's cost analysis compares the costs of key services received by children in the experimental group with the costs of traditional services received by children in the control group. To the extent feasible, the State is conducting a cost-effectiveness analysis to identify costs per successful outcome for the experimental group versus the control group.
Process Evaluation
As of March 31, 2008, a total of 271 cases had been enrolled in the demonstration, of which 21 parents/caregivers declined to participate. Of the remaining 250 cases, 102 cases were from the existing case cohort (with 58 assigned to the experimental group and 44 to the matched comparison group) and 148 were new randomly assigned cases (with 61 assigned to the experimental group and 87 to the control group).
Outcome Evaluation
Safety and permanency outcomes available as of March 2008 are highlighted below:
Additional outcome findings will become available as implementation continues.
Annual evaluation reports for the State's expedited reunification demonstration project for 2004–2007 are available at the following Web site: http://www.cabhp.asu.edu/projects/.
1 Based on information submitted by the State as of March 2008. Back
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