| Factor Categories | Odds Ratio Associated with Recurrence (N=97,406) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Prior Victim | ||
| No | 1.00 | |
| Yes | *0.32 | |
| Type of Maltreatment | ||
| Physical Abuse | 1.00 | |
| Neglect/Medical Neglect | *1.27 | |
| Multiple Forms of Maltreatment | *1.15 | |
| Other Abuse | 1.03 | |
| Sexual Abuse | 0.93 | |
| Postinvestigation Services | ||
| No | 1.00 | |
| Yes | *1.66 | |
| Foster Care Services | ||
| No | 1.00 | |
| Yes | *1.20 | |
| Child Age | ||
| 0-3 years | 1.00 | |
| 4-7 years | *0.83 | |
| 8-11 years | *0.76 | |
| 12-15 years | *0.71 | |
| 16+ years | *0.48 | |
| Child Race/Ethnicity | ||
| White Only | 1.00 | |
| Other, Unable to Determine, Missing, Multiple Race | 0.93 | |
| Hispanic | *0.84 | |
| Asian/Pacific Islander Only | 0.84 | |
| African-American Only | *0.78 | |
| American Indian/Alaska Native Only | 0.69 | |
| Report Source | ||
| Social/Mental Health Services | 1.00 | |
| Other/Unknown | *1.34 | |
| Education Personnel | *1.18 | |
| Day Care/Foster Care Providers | 1.09 | |
| Medical Personnel | 1.05 | |
| Law Enforcement/Legal Personnel | 1.01 | |
| Perpetrator Relationship | ||
| Female Parent Acting Alone | 1.00 | |
| Female Parent and Other | 0.94 | |
| Both Parents | *0.92 | |
| Other | 0.91 | |
| Male Parent Acting Alone | *0.87 | |
| Child Day Care Provider | 0.83 | |
| Male Parent and Other | *0.80 | |
| Family Relative | *0.76 | |
| Residential Facility | 0.66 | |
| Foster Parent | *0.54 | |
* p < 0.01
Proportional hazard models associate the contribution of the categories within a factor to the distribution of elapsed time to the event of interest (in this case recurrence). Odds ratios indicate the likelihood, relative to the reference group, of the outcome occurring. Odds ratios greater than 1.00 indicate an increased likelihood of occurrence (e.g., victims of prior abuse/neglect are 3.32 times more likely than children with no history of prior abuse/neglect to suffer abuse/neglect); odds ratios less than 1.00 indicate a decreased likelihood of recurrence (e.g., victims who are age 16 or older are 48% less likely than children age 0 to 3 to suffer recurrence). The effect of child sex was tested, but found to make no contribution to the overall model. States included in the proportional hazards model are Connecticut, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maine, Missouri, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Washington.
This table examines many different variables to determine what factors do influence maltreatment recurrence. The table lists each factor category and then provides an odds ratio associated with recurrence. Those factors that had a significant p-value and hence were found to influence recurrence are the following: prior victimization, exposure to neglect/medical neglect or multiple forms of maltreatment, the receipt of postinvestigation services or foster care services, a child over the age of 3, Hispanic or African American descents, a report from education personnel or an other/unknown source, and a perpetrator status of both parents, male parent acting alone, male parent and other, family relative, and foster parent.
Return to Chapter Three: Figures and Tables