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| Factor Categories | Odds Ratio Associated with Recurrence (N=97,406) |
|---|---|
| Prior Victim | |
| No | 1.00 |
| Yes | *2.14 |
| Type of Maltreatment | |
| Physical Abuse | 1.00 |
| Neglect/Medical Neglect | *1.44 |
| Sexual Abuse | 0.99 |
| Other Abuse | *1.17 |
| Multiple Forms of Maltreatment | *1.14 |
| Postinvestigation Services | |
| No | 1.00 |
| Yes | *1.50 |
| Foster Care Services | |
| No | 1.00 |
| Yes | *1.23 |
| Child Age | |
| 0-3 years | 1.00 |
| 4-7 years | 0.97 |
| 8-11 years | *0.87 |
| 12-15 years | *0.84 |
| 16+ years | *0.61 |
| Child Race/Ethnicity | |
| White Only | 1.00 |
| African-American Only | *0.83 |
| American Indian/Alaska Native Only | 1.02 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander Only | *0.73 |
| Other, Unable to Determine, Missing, Multiple Race | 1.00 |
| Hispanic | *0.80 |
| Report Source | |
| Social/Mental Health Services | 1.00 |
| Medical Personnel | 0.96 |
| Law Enforcement/Legal Personnel | *0.91 |
| Education Personnel | *1.22 |
| Day Care/Foster Care Providers | 1.13 |
| Other/Unknown | *1.31 |
| Perpetrator Relationship | |
| Mother Only | 1.00 |
| Father Only | *0.89 |
| Both Parents | 0.97 |
| Mother and Other | 1.06 |
| Father and Other | 1.02 |
| Nonparent Perpetrator | *0.79 |
| Perpetrator Relationship Unknown | 0.95 |
* p < 0.01
Proportional hazard models associate the contribution of the categories within a factor to the distribution of elapsed time to the event of interest (in this case recurrence). Odds ratios indicate the likelihood, relative to the reference group, of the outcome occurring. Odds ratios greater than 1.00 indicate an increased likelihood of occurrence (e.g. victims of prior abuse/neglect are 2.14 times more likely than children with no history of prior abuse/neglect to suffer abuse/neglect); odds ratios less than 1.00 indicate a decreased likelihood of recurrence (e.g. victims who are age 16 or older are 39% less likely than children age 0 to 3 to suffer recurrence). The effect of child sex was tested, but found to make no contribution to the overall model. States included in the proportional hazards model are California, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Iowa, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, New Jersey, Ohio, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, and Washington.
This table examines many different variables to determine what factors influence maltreatment recurrence. The table lists each factor category and then provides an odds ratio associated with recurrence. Those factors that had a significant p-value and hence were found to influence recurrence are the following: prior victimization; exposure to neglect/medical neglect, other abuse, or multiple forms of maltreatment; the receipt of postinvestigation services or foster care services; a child over the age of 7, Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander, or African American descents; a report from law enforcement/legal personnel, education personnel, or an other/unknown source; and a perpetrator status of father only or no male perpetrator.
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