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Table 2-14: Factors Associated with Maltreatment Recurrence, 1999 DCDC

Factor Categories Odds Ratios Associated with Recurrence (N = 142,726)
PRIOR VICTIM
No Reference Category 1.00
Yes 2.71*
TYPE OF MALTREATMENT
Physical Abuse Reference Category 1.00
Neglect/Medical Neglect 1.44*
Sexual Abuse 0.91
Other Abuse 1.20*
Multiple Forms of Maltreatment 1.27*
POST-INVESTIGATION SERVICES
No Reference Category 1.00
Yes 1.16*
FOSTER CARE SERVICES
No Reference Category 1.00
Yes 1.17*
CHILD CARE
0-3 year Reference Category 1.00
4-7 years 0.94*
8-11 years 0.87*
12-15 years 0.86*
16+ years 0.60*
CHILD RACE/ETHNICITY
White, non-Hispanic Reference Category 1.00
African-American 0.83*
Hispanic 0.96
American Indian/Alaskan Native 0.86
Asian/Pacific Islander 0.72*
Other/Unknown 0.68*
REPORT SOURCE
Social/Mental Health Services Reference Category 1.00
Medical Personnel 0.92
Law Enforcement/Legal Personnel 0.85*
Education Personnel 1.15*
Day Care/Foster Care Providers 1.18*
Other 1.18*

*p < 0.01

Note. Proportional hazard models associate the contribution of the categories within a factor to the distribution of elapsed time to the event of interest (in this case recurrence). Odds ratios indicate the likelihood, relative to the reference group, of the outcome occurring. Odds ratios greater than 1.00 indicate an increased likelihood of occurrence (e.g., victims of prior abuse/neglect are 171% more likely than children with no history of prior abuse/neglect to suffer abuse/neglect); odds ratios less than 1.00 indicate a decreased likelihood of recurrence (e.g., victims who age 16 or older are 40% less likely than children age 0 to 3 to suffer recurrence). States included in the proportional hazards model are Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and West Virginia.