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Project Title: Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Cases: Patterns and Predictors of Recurrence
Grant/Contract Number: 90CA1591
Type of Project: Research
Funding Agency: Office on Child Abuse and Neglect
Agency Contact Person: John Gaudiosi
(202) 205-8625
Principal Investigator: Brett Drake
Mailing Address: George Warren Brown School of Social Work
One Brookings Drive
St. Louis, MO 63130
Total Project Duration: 9/30/97 to 9/29/00
FY 98 Total Costs: $200,000
Total Project Budget: $587,192
Child Maltreatment Focus: Primary
Type of Abuse: Differentiated
Sample Size: 90,000
Age of Subjects: Birth-18 years old
Child Abuse and Neglect Focus
of This Project:
Policy
Summary  


Washington University will conduct a study to compare children in substantiated reports to children in unsubstantiated reports as to their likelihood of incurring subsequent reports of maltreatment, child placement in alternative care, and child fatality. The goal of the study is to develop a detailed understanding of the differences between recurrences in the two groups so that practical policies can be formulated. The objectives of the study are (1) to determine the degree to which substantiated and unsubstantiated cases are at different risk for future maltreatment, (2) to understand better the association between service use and recurrence, and (3) to understand better the specific predictors of recurrence among both substantiated and unsubstantiated cases. The research design involves identifying approximately 90,000 children in Missouri and following them for 5 years after a substantiated or unsubstantiated report. Databases will also be developed on families and perpetrators.