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Arizona

Context Data | Outcomes Data | Federal Comment

Arizona [ Context Data ]

A. Key Context Statistics


General Population
(Census Bureau)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Total children under 18 years

1,334,564

1,417,451

1,437,420

1,476,856

Race/ethnicity (%)1, 2

 

 

 

 

Alaska Native/American Indian6.96.66.66.5
AsianN/A1.61.61.7
Asian/Pacific Islander2.1N/AN/AN/A
Black3.43.43.63.5
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/AN/A0.10.1
Hispanic32.636.136.737.4
White55.149.649.348.7
Two or more racesN/A2.522.1
OtherN/A0.200

% Child population in poverty

16

21.8

22.3

19.1



Child Welfare Summary

1999

2000

2002

2002

Child maltreatment victims39,2057,4605,3895,114
Children in foster care on 9/307,0346,4756,0506,211
Children adopted761853938793


1The convention for the data tables is the following: N/A in the data table means that the category was not applicable for the specific year. A dash (-) means that there is "no value" or the category is a true zero (that is, no children were reported as being in that category). A zero (0) means that there is a value for the category, but the value is less than 0.1 percent.Back
2The multiple and overlapping race categories in this and subsequent race tables are due to changes in the Census Bureau categories beginning in 2000. Because the reporting of these categories is a relatively new process for States, changes in percentages over time may be due to data quality issues.Back
3A child victim is a child who is the subject of a substantiated or indicated maltreatment report. Children with more than one report of substantiated or indicated maltreatment may be counted more than once.Back

B. Child Maltreatment Data (NCANDS)


 

Number

Rate

Maltreatment Information Overview

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children subject of an investigated report alleging child maltreatment 52,61151,81154,16652,28839.4 per 1,00036.5 per 1,00037.7 per 1,00035.4 per 1,000
Child maltreatment victims9,2057,4605,3895,1146.9 per 1,0005.3 per 1,0003.8 per 1,0003.5 per 1,000
Child fatalities8713210.6 per 100,0000.5 per 100,0000.9 per 100,0001.4 per 100,000


Age of Child Victims (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Under 1 Year15.717.618.812
1-5 years29.427.728.431.7
6-10 years27.726.126.126.8
11-15 years22.42322.124
16+ years4.85.44.65.3
Unknown / Missing data00.200.1
Total %100100100100

Number

9,205

7,460

5,389

5,114



Race/Ethnicity of Child Victims (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Alaska Native/American Indian5.73.53.33.7
Asian/Pacific Islander10.20.40.7
Black9.27.98.37.1
Hispanic3133.933.436
White78.345.947.245.8
Two or more races0.33.63.73.1
Total %4131100100100

Number

9,205

7,460

5,389

5,114



Maltreatment Type of Child Victims (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Emotional Abuse1.21.50.70.9
Medical Neglect0------
Neglect58.471.471.670.4
Physical Abuse24.824.525.324.9
Sexual Abuse5.67.56.17.7
Unknown / Missing data00----
Other10------
Total %5100104.9103.7103.9

Number

9,205

7,460

5,389

5,114



4Percentages may total more than 100 percent because Hispanics may be counted both by Hispanic ethnicity and by race.Back
5Percentages may total more than 100 percent because children could have been victims of more than one type of maltreatment.Back

C. Children in Foster Care (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)


Number of Children

In Care on 10/1

Entered Care

Exited Care

In Care on 9/30

Total Served

FY1999 (10/1/98 - 9/30/99)7,5154,3724,8537,03411,887
FY2000 (10/1/99 - 9/30/00)6,8874,6445,0566,47511,531
FY2001 (10/1/00 - 9/30/01)6,2644,5154,7296,05010,779
FY2002 (10/1/01 - 9/30/02)5,9055,0694,7636,21110,974

Median Length of Stay (Months)

 

FY1999 (10/1/98 - 9/30/99)17.2N/A10.418.9N/A
FY2000 (10/1/99 - 9/30/00)19.1N/A9.418N/A
FY2001 (10/1/00 - 9/30/01)18.3N/A9.615.8N/A
FY2002 (10/1/01 - 9/30/02)16.2N/A7.413.7N/A


Age of Children in Foster Care (%)

In Care On: 10/1/98

In Care On: 10/1/99

In Care On: 10/1/00

In Care On: 10/1/01

Entered Care During FY: 1999

Entered Care During FY: 2000

Entered Care During FY: 2001

Entered Care During FY: 2002

Exited Care During FY: 1999

Exited Care During FY: 2000

Exited Care During FY:2001

Exited Care During FY: 2002

In Care On: 9/30/99

In Care On: 9/30/00

In Care On: 9/30/01

In Care On: 9/30/02

Under 1 Year3.74.24.65.112.814.11313.345.24.34.84.24.85.25.8
1-5 years27.62726.225.82826.727.528.628.52929.629.726.925.925.927
6-10 years26.725.323.121.722.22221.120.624.524.222.622.725.222.921.620.2
11-15 years28.128.730.730.226.627.127.926.322.723.325.324.22930.830.527.8
16-18 years13.614.31516.510.410.210.511.219.217.317.717.814.115.216.218
19+ years0.30.60.30.70----0.1110.50.80.60.40.71.3
Unknown / Missing data--------00.1--000.10.10.1--------
Total %100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100

Number

7,515

6,887

6,264

5,905

4,372

4,644

4,515

5,069

4,853

5,056

4,729

4,763

7,034

6,475

6,050

6,211



Race/Ethnicity of Children in Foster Care (%)

In Care On: 10/1/98

In Care On: 10/1/99

In Care On: 10/1/00

In Care On: 10/1/01

Entered Care During FY: 1999

Entered Care During FY: 2000

Entered Care During FY: 2001

Entered Care During FY: 2002

Exited Care During FY: 1999

Exited Care During FY: 2000

Exited Care During FY:2001

Exited Care During FY: 2002

In Care On: 9/30/99

In Care On: 9/30/00

In Care On: 9/30/01

In Care On: 9/30/02

Alaska Native/American Indian2.92.82.42.33.63.44.143.83.84.14.12.82.52.32.3
AsianN/A000N/A00.20.2N/A0.100.3N/A000
Asian/Pacific Islander0N/AN/AN/A0.2N/AN/AN/A0.2N/AN/AN/A0N/AN/AN/A
Black12.812.512.510.88.59.17.57.89.59.59.99.212.412.410.89.7
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/A------N/A--0.10N/A--0.10N/A----0
Hispanic27.931.233.333.833.432.532.535.128.130.53234.831.232.733.834.1
White5248.546.146.848.448.448.445.853.450.547.244.648.746.946.947.7
Two or more racesN/A4.75.14.8N/A44.33.2N/A4.24.83.9N/A4.74.84.2
Unknown / Missing data0.60.20.51.41.42.52.83.821.51.73.20.20.91.31.9
Total %100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100

Number

7,515

6,887

6,264

5,905

4,372

4,644

4,515

5,069

4,853

5,056

4,729

4,763

7,034

6,475

6,050

6,211



D. Children Waiting to be Adopted (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)6


Overview

9/30/99

9/30/00

9/30/01

9/30/02

Children waiting to be adopted3,0512,3702,5532,150
Children whose parents' rights have been terminated (TPR)2,6331,8172,2371,613


Age of Waiting Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Under 1 Year6.14.37.86.4
1-5 years40.638.939.639.3
6-10 years34.632.730.128.7
11-15 years18.322.921.824.4
16+ years0.41.20.71.1
Unknown / Missing data0----0.1
Total %100100100100

Number

3,051

2,370

2,553

2,150



Race/Ethnicity of Waiting Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Alaska Native/American Indian2.321.31
AsianN/A000
Asian/Pacific Islander0N/AN/AN/A
Black11.410.697.7
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/A------
Hispanic33.13736.336
White48.144.946.848.4
Two or more racesN/A5.15.55.3
Unknown / Missing data50.511.5
Total %100100100100

Number

3,051

2,370

2,553

2,150



6Waiting children are children who have a goal of adoption and/or whose parents' rights have been terminated (TPR). Children 16 years and older with TPR, but with a goal of emancipation have been excluded from the waiting children and TPR populations.Back

E. Children Adopted (AFCARS Annual Adoption Database)


Age of Adopted Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Under 1 Year0.50.70.92.1
1-5 years44.844.549.148.7
6-10 years3936.930.331.7
11-15 years14.516.617.516
16+ years1.21.22.21.5
Total %100100100100

Number

761

853

938

793



Race/Ethnicity of Adopted Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Alaska Native/American Indian1.12.51.51.4
AsianN/A------
Asian/Pacific Islander0.3N/AN/AN/A
Black12.710.69.98.6
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/A------
Hispanic28.125.838.340.6
White55.856.443.742.7
Two or more racesN/A4.86.46.3
Unknown / Missing data0.1--0.20.4
Total %100100100100

Number

761

853

938

793



Back to Top


Arizona [ Outcomes Data ]

1. Reduce Recurrence of Child Abuse and/or Neglect (NCANDS)

1.1 Recurrence of Maltreatment Within 6 Months (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children without a recurrence95.293.99696.5
Children with one or more recurrences4.86.143.5
Total %100100100100

Number

3,064

3,558

2,461

2,353



Graph of the Recurrence of Maltreatment Within 6 Months

2. Reduce the Incidence of Child Abuse and/or Neglect in Foster Care (NCANDS, AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database Jan-Sept)

2.1 Maltreatment in Foster Care (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children maltreated while in foster care0.10.30.20.2
Children not maltreated while in foster care99.999.799.899.8
Total %100100100100

Number

9,419

10,450

9,647

9,785



Graph of the Occurance of Maltreatment in Foster Care

3. Increase Permanency for Children in Foster Care (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)

3.1 Exits from Foster Care (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption17.918.418.716.9
Guardianship0.50.55.712.9
Reunification72.371.866.156.5
Other9.39.39.513.7
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

4,853

5,056

4,729

4,763



Percent Exits from Foster Care

1999200020012002
Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 1999Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 2000Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 2001Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 2002
 

3.2 Exits of Disabled Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption8.619.52428
Guardianship----713.6
Reunification81.472.757.337.4
Other107.811.821
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

70

128

805

1,198



3.3 Exits of Children Over Age 12 at Entry (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption1.30.70.90.6
Guardianship0.60.53.77.2
Reunification70.771.370.963.6
Other27.427.624.528.6
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

1,333

1,312

1,298

1,331



3.4 Exits to Emancipation (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children age 12 or younger at entry18.923.123.426.8
Children older than 12 at entry81.176.976.673.2
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

444

450

363

396



3.5 Exits by Race/Ethnicity (%)

Alaska Native/A.I.

Asian

Asian/Pacific Islander

Black

Native Hawaiian/ Other P.I.

 

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption9.313.65.14.6N/A------20N/AN/AN/A23.820.917.115.8N/A------
Guardianship----4.114.9N/A--------N/AN/AN/A0.40.27.113.5N/A------
Reunification82.581.783.268.2N/A83.310010010N/AN/AN/A14.712.114.821.8N/A--100100
Other8.24.77.712.3N/A16.7------N/AN/AN/A--------N/A------
Missing data--------N/A------N/A------
Total %100100100100N/A100100100100N/AN/AN/A100100100100N/A--100100

Number

183

191

196

195

N/A

6

3

12

10

N/A

N/A

N/A

463

479

467

436

N/A

--

6

1

 

 

Hispanic

White

Unable to Determine

Two or More Races

Missing Data

 

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption17.616.222.719.818.72017.316.4--2.72.42.611.619.526.926.6--------
Guardianship0.40.64.813.30.60.46.112.1----2.411.2N/A17.517.9--------
Reunification73.774.865.254.771.569.466.458.194.797.390.27784.273.355.138.6--------
Other8.48.47.312.29.310.210.213.45.3--4.99.24.16.210.616.8--------
Missing data------------------------N/A--------------
Total %100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100--------

Number

1,363

1,543

1,514

1,657

2,593

2,553

2,234

2,126

95

74

82

152

146

210

227

184

--

--

--

--



4. Reduce Time to Reunification Without Increasing Re-entry (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)

4.1 Time to Reunification (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Less than 12 mos.6871.573.783.9
At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos.17.8151511.5
At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos.6.785.22.8
At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos.3.52.82.80.7
48 or more mos.3.92.73.11
Missing data0.10.10.30.1
Total %100100100100

Number

3,511

3,632

3,127

2,689



Graph of Time to Reunification



4.2 Children Who Entered Foster Care (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children entering care for the first time87.184.780.578.8
Children re-entering care within 12 mos. of a prior episode10.711.513.813.1
Children re-entering care more than 12 mos. after a prior episode2.23.95.78.2
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

4,372

4,644

4,515

5,069



Graph of Re-entries Into Foster Care

5. Reduce Time in Foster Care to Adoption (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)

5.1 Time to Adoption (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Less than 12 mos.8.43.84.42.1
At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos.11.414.419.126.4
At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos.24.728.335.531.4
At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos.23.426.22419.8
48 or more mos.32.127.316.920.3
Missing data----0.1--
Total %100100100100

Number

870

930

884

807



Graph of Time to Adoption

6. Increase Placement Stability (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)

6.1 Number of Placements by Time in Care (%)

Year

Children With 2 or Fewer Placements

Children With 2 or Fewer Placements

Missing Data

Total %

Number

Less than 12 mos.199981.913.94.21004,921
200082.414.92.71005,171
200182.416.21.41005,037
200282.116.31.61005,617
At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos.199952.2470.81002,614
200051.547.90.61002,121
200149.849.80.31002,165
20025148.901002,241
At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos.199938.461.30.31001,697
200035.8640.11001,688
200135.964.1--1001,247
200232.96701001,108
At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos.199933.865.70.5100935
200028.471.501001,006
200126.673.4--100913
20022080--100610
48 or more mos.199931.168.80.21001,697
200023.576.30.21001,530
200116.283.8--1001,404
200212.287.8--1001,375
Missing data199978.3--21.710023
200066.7--33.310015
200115.4--84.610013
200287--1310023


Graph of Children Experiencing 2 or Fewer Placements

7. Reduce Placements of Young Children in Group Homes or Institutions (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)

7.1 Most Recent Placement Settings of Children Who Entered Care During the Fiscal Year and Were Age 12 or Younger at the Time of This Placement (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Group homes5.76.67.78.4
Institutions17.320.623.123.5
Other settings63.46768.567.2
Missing data13.75.70.70.9
Total %100100100100

Number

3,124

3,292

3,138

3,544



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Arizona [ Federal Comment ]

The following discussion focuses on Arizona’s performance with regard to each of the outcomes assessed in the Child Welfare Outcomes Annual Reports to Congress. The Arizona Child and Family Services Review (CFSR) was completed in fiscal year (FY) 2001, and compliance with the national standards was based on data from 1999. The final report for that review is available from the Child Welfare Monitoring Documents Library. A discussion of the implications of CFSR findings for Arizona’s performance on the Report to Congress Outcomes is provided in Child Welfare Outcomes 2000.

The Federal Comment includes an examination of State performance in 2002 and the percent change in performance from 1999 to 2002. A difference in percent change from 1999 to 2002 that was less than 5.0 in either direction was considered to represent “no change in performance.” With the exception of outcome measure 2.1, the data presented in the Report to Congress are rounded to one decimal. However, the percent change in performance was calculated using data rounded to two decimals. Measure 2.1 is rounded to two decimals because the national standard is less than one percent. Key findings of the analyses of national data pertaining to State variation in performance on the outcome measures are incorporated into a State’s Federal Comment when relevant.

Outcome 1. Reduce recurrence of child abuse and/or neglect
In calendar year (CY) 2002, Arizona’s rate of maltreatment recurrence within 6 months was 3.5 percent, which is less than both the national standard (6.1 percent or less) and the national median (7.5 percent). Performance on this measure improved from 1999 to 2002 (-27.1 percent change).

The cross-State analysis found a substantial positive relationship between State performance on this outcome measure and State performance on the rate of child victims (i.e., the number of child victims per 1,000 children in the population). States with relatively low rates of child victims tended to have relatively low rates of maltreatment recurrence. For Arizona, both the incidence of maltreatment recurrence (3.5 percent) and the rate of child victims (3.5 children per 1,000 in the population) were in the bottom quartile of the State rankings. This suggests that the State’s policies and laws pertaining to what constitutes maltreatment and what is necessary for substantiation may be related to its rate of maltreatment recurrence.

Outcome 2. Reduce the incidence of child abuse and/or neglect in foster care
In CY 2002, Arizona’s incidence of maltreatment in foster care was 0.25 percent, which is less than both the national standard of 0.57 percent or less and the national median of 0.39 percent. However, performance on this measure declined from 1999 to 2002 (+161.64 percent change). This change in performance is difficult to interpret, because only 9 children were reported in 1999 as victims of maltreatment in foster care compared to 24 children reported as victims in 2002.

Outcome 3. Increase permanency for children in foster care
In FY 2002, 86.3 percent of children exiting foster care in Arizona were discharged to a permanent home (which is about equal to the national median of 86.1 percent); 79.0 percent of children with a diagnosed disability who exited foster care were discharged to a permanent home (which is about equal to the national median of 79.8 percent); and 71.4 percent of children exiting foster care who were older than age 12 at entry into foster care were discharged to a permanent home (which is about equal to the national median of 72.0 percent). In addition, 26.8 percent of the children exiting foster care through emancipation were age 12 or younger at the time of entry into foster care, which is about equal to the national median of 26.9 percent. This suggests that the State experiences some success in achieving permanency for children exiting foster care. There was no change in performance from FY 1999 to FY 2002 with regard to the percentage of all children discharged to a permanent home, and the percentage of children discharged to a permanent home who were older than age 12 when they entered foster care. However, performance declined over this time period with regard to: (1) the percentage of children with a diagnosed disability discharged to a permanent home (-12.2 percent change), and (2) the percentage of children emancipated from foster care who were age 12 or younger when they entered foster care (+45.5 percent change).

Outcome 4. Reduce time to reunification without increasing re-entry
In FY 2002, the percentage of all reunifications in Arizona occurring within 12 months of a child’s entry into foster care was 83.9, which is more than both the national standard (76.2 percent or more) and the national median (68.0 percent). Performance with regard to reunifications within 12 months improved from FY 1999 to FY 2002 (+23.4 percent change).

Because the cross-State analyses of performance on this measure found a substantial positive relationship between the percentage of reunifications within 12 months and the percentage of children entering foster care who were re-entering within 12 months of a prior episode, Arizona’s performance with regard to reunifications within 12 months must be considered in the context of its reentry rate. For Arizona, the percentage of children entering foster care in FY 2002 who were re-entering within 12 months of a discharge from a prior foster care episode was 13.1, which is more than both the national standard (8.6 percent or less) and the national median (9.9 percent). Performance on this measure declined from FY 1999 to FY 2002 (+22.3 percent change). Thus, although Arizona had a relatively high percentage of reunifications in FY 2002 occurring within 12 months of entry into foster care, the State also had a relatively high percentage of children entering foster care who were re-entering within 12 months of a prior episode.

Outcome 5. Reduce time in foster care to adoption
In FY 2002, the percentage of all finalized adoptions occurring within 24 months of a child’s entry into foster care was 28.5, which does not meet the national standard (32.0 percent or more) but is more than the national median (23.0 percent). Change in performance on this measure is assessed from FY 2000 to FY 2002 due to data quality issues for many States for this measure in FY 1999. Arizona’s performance on this measure improved from FY 2000 to FY 2002 (+56.8 percent change).

Outcome 6. Increase placement stability
In FY 2002, the percentage of children who experienced no more than 2 placement settings during their first 12 months in foster care was 82.1, which is less than both the national standard (86.7 percent or more) and the national median (84.1 percent). Arizona’s performance on this measure exhibited no change from FY 1999 to FY 2002.

Outcome 7. Reduce placements of young children in group homes and institutions
In FY 2002, the percentage of children age 12 or younger entering foster care who were placed in a group home or institution was 31.9, which was the second highest percentage in the Nation. In addition, Arizona’s performance on this measure declined from FY 1999 to FY 2002 (+39.0 percent).

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