Home > Statistics & Research > Child Welfare Outcomes 2002 > Chapter Six > Arizona
Arizona
Context Data | Outcomes Data | Federal Comment
Arizona [ Context Data ]
A. Key Context Statistics
|
General Population (Census Bureau)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
Total children under 18 years
|
1,334,564
|
1,417,451
|
1,437,420
|
1,476,856
|
Race/ethnicity (%)1,
2
|
|
|
|
|
| Alaska Native/American Indian | 6.9 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.5 |
| Asian | N/A | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 2.1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Black | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander | N/A | N/A | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Hispanic | 32.6 | 36.1 | 36.7 | 37.4 |
| White | 55.1 | 49.6 | 49.3 | 48.7 |
| Two or more races | N/A | 2.5 | 2 | 2.1 |
| Other | N/A | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
% Child population in poverty
|
16
|
21.8
|
22.3
|
19.1
|
Child Welfare Summary
|
1999
|
2000
|
2002
|
2002
|
| Child maltreatment victims3 | 9,205 | 7,460 | 5,389 | 5,114 |
| Children in foster care on 9/30 | 7,034 | 6,475 | 6,050 | 6,211 |
| Children adopted | 761 | 853 | 938 | 793 |
|
| 1The convention for the data tables is the following: N/A in the data table means that the
category was not applicable for the specific year. A dash (-) means that there is "no value" or the category is a true zero (that
is, no children were reported as being in that category). A zero (0) means that there is a value for the category, but the value
is less than 0.1 percent.Back |
| 2The multiple and overlapping race categories in this and subsequent race tables are due to
changes in the Census Bureau categories beginning in 2000. Because the reporting of these categories is a relatively new process
for States, changes in percentages over time may be due to data quality issues.Back |
| 3A child victim is a child who is the subject of a substantiated or indicated maltreatment
report. Children with more than one report of substantiated or indicated maltreatment may be counted more than
once.Back |
B. Child Maltreatment Data (NCANDS)
|
|
Number
|
Rate
|
Maltreatment Information Overview
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Children subject of an investigated report alleging child maltreatment
| 52,611 | 51,811 | 54,166 | 52,288 | 39.4 per 1,000 | 36.5 per 1,000 | 37.7 per 1,000 | 35.4 per 1,000 |
| Child maltreatment victims | 9,205 | 7,460 | 5,389 | 5,114 | 6.9 per 1,000 | 5.3 per 1,000 | 3.8 per 1,000 | 3.5 per 1,000 |
| Child fatalities | 8 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 0.6 per 100,000 | 0.5 per 100,000 | 0.9 per 100,000 | 1.4 per 100,000 |
|
|
Age of Child Victims (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Under 1 Year | 15.7 | 17.6 | 18.8 | 12 |
| 1-5 years | 29.4 | 27.7 | 28.4 | 31.7 |
| 6-10 years | 27.7 | 26.1 | 26.1 | 26.8 |
| 11-15 years | 22.4 | 23 | 22.1 | 24 |
| 16+ years | 4.8 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| Unknown / Missing data | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
9,205
|
7,460
|
5,389
|
5,114
|
Race/Ethnicity of Child Victims
(%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Alaska Native/American
Indian | 5.7 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Asian/Pacific
Islander | 1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Black | 9.2 | 7.9 | 8.3 | 7.1 |
| Hispanic | 31 | 33.9 | 33.4 | 36 |
| White | 78.3 | 45.9 | 47.2 | 45.8 |
| Two or more races | 0.3 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Total %4 | 131 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
9,205
|
7,460
|
5,389
|
5,114
|
Maltreatment Type of Child Victims (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Emotional Abuse | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Medical Neglect | 0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Neglect | 58.4 | 71.4 | 71.6 | 70.4 |
| Physical Abuse | 24.8 | 24.5 | 25.3 | 24.9 |
| Sexual Abuse | 5.6 | 7.5 | 6.1 | 7.7 |
| Unknown / Missing data | 0 | 0 | -- | -- |
| Other | 10 | -- | -- | -- |
| Total %5 | 100 | 104.9 | 103.7 | 103.9 |
Number
|
9,205
|
7,460
|
5,389
|
5,114
|
|
| 4Percentages may total more than 100 percent because Hispanics may
be counted both by Hispanic ethnicity and by race.Back |
| 5Percentages may total more than 100 percent because children
could have been victims of more than one type of maltreatment.Back |
C. Children in Foster Care (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)
|
Number of Children
|
In Care on 10/1
|
Entered Care
|
Exited
Care
|
In Care on 9/30
|
Total Served
|
| FY1999 (10/1/98 - 9/30/99) | 7,515 | 4,372 | 4,853 | 7,034 | 11,887 |
| FY2000 (10/1/99 - 9/30/00) | 6,887 | 4,644 | 5,056 | 6,475 | 11,531 |
| FY2001 (10/1/00 - 9/30/01) | 6,264 | 4,515 | 4,729 | 6,050 | 10,779 |
| FY2002 (10/1/01 - 9/30/02) | 5,905 | 5,069 | 4,763 | 6,211 | 10,974 |
Median Length of Stay (Months) | |
| FY1999 (10/1/98 - 9/30/99) | 17.2 | N/A | 10.4 | 18.9 | N/A |
| FY2000 (10/1/99 - 9/30/00) | 19.1 | N/A | 9.4 | 18 | N/A |
| FY2001 (10/1/00 - 9/30/01) | 18.3 | N/A | 9.6 | 15.8 | N/A |
| FY2002 (10/1/01 - 9/30/02) | 16.2 | N/A | 7.4 | 13.7 | N/A |
Age of Children in Foster Care (%)
|
In Care On: 10/1/98
|
In Care On: 10/1/99
|
In Care On: 10/1/00
|
In Care On: 10/1/01
|
Entered Care During FY: 1999
|
Entered Care During FY: 2000
|
Entered Care During FY: 2001
|
Entered Care During FY:
2002
|
Exited Care During FY: 1999
|
Exited Care During FY: 2000
|
Exited Care During FY:2001
|
Exited Care
During FY: 2002
|
In Care On: 9/30/99
|
In Care On: 9/30/00
|
In Care On: 9/30/01
|
In Care On: 9/30/02
|
| Under 1 Year | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 12.8 | 14.1 | 13 | 13.3 | 4 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| 1-5 years | 27.6 | 27 | 26.2 | 25.8 | 28 | 26.7 | 27.5 | 28.6 | 28.5 | 29 | 29.6 | 29.7 | 26.9 | 25.9 | 25.9 | 27 |
| 6-10 years | 26.7 | 25.3 | 23.1 | 21.7 | 22.2 | 22 | 21.1 | 20.6 | 24.5 | 24.2 | 22.6 | 22.7 | 25.2 | 22.9 | 21.6 | 20.2 |
| 11-15 years | 28.1 | 28.7 | 30.7 | 30.2 | 26.6 | 27.1 | 27.9 | 26.3 | 22.7 | 23.3 | 25.3 | 24.2 | 29 | 30.8 | 30.5 | 27.8 |
| 16-18 years | 13.6 | 14.3 | 15 | 16.5 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 19.2 | 17.3 | 17.7 | 17.8 | 14.1 | 15.2 | 16.2 | 18 |
| 19+ years | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 | -- | -- | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Unknown / Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0 | 0.1 | -- | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
7,515
|
6,887
|
6,264
|
5,905
|
4,372
|
4,644
|
4,515
|
5,069
|
4,853
|
5,056
|
4,729
|
4,763
|
7,034
|
6,475
|
6,050
|
6,211
|
Race/Ethnicity of Children in Foster Care (%)
|
In Care On: 10/1/98
|
In Care On: 10/1/99
|
In Care On:
10/1/00
|
In Care On: 10/1/01
|
Entered Care During FY: 1999
|
Entered Care During FY:
2000
|
Entered Care During FY: 2001
|
Entered Care During
FY: 2002
|
Exited Care During FY: 1999
|
Exited Care During FY: 2000
|
Exited Care During FY:2001
|
Exited Care During FY: 2002
|
In Care On: 9/30/99
|
In Care On: 9/30/00
|
In Care On: 9/30/01
|
In Care On:
9/30/02
|
| Alaska Native/American Indian | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 4 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Asian | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | N/A | 0.1 | 0 | 0.3 | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.2 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Black | 12.8 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 10.8 | 8.5 | 9.1 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 9.2 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 10.8 | 9.7 |
| Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander | N/A | -- | -- | -- | N/A | -- | 0.1 | 0 | N/A | -- | 0.1 | 0 | N/A | -- | -- | 0 |
| Hispanic | 27.9 | 31.2 | 33.3 | 33.8 | 33.4 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 35.1 | 28.1 | 30.5 | 32 | 34.8 | 31.2 | 32.7 | 33.8 | 34.1 |
| White | 52 | 48.5 | 46.1 | 46.8 | 48.4 | 48.4 | 48.4 | 45.8 | 53.4 | 50.5 | 47.2 | 44.6 | 48.7 | 46.9 | 46.9 | 47.7 |
| Two or more races | N/A | 4.7 | 5.1 | 4.8 | N/A | 4 | 4.3 | 3.2 | N/A | 4.2 | 4.8 | 3.9 | N/A | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Unknown / Missing data | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
7,515
|
6,887
|
6,264
|
5,905
|
4,372
|
4,644
|
4,515
|
5,069
|
4,853
|
5,056
|
4,729
|
4,763
|
7,034
|
6,475
|
6,050
|
6,211
|
|
D. Children Waiting to be Adopted (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database: Fiscal Year Data)6
|
Overview
|
9/30/99
|
9/30/00
|
9/30/01
|
9/30/02
|
| Children waiting to be adopted | 3,051 | 2,370 | 2,553 | 2,150 |
| Children whose parents' rights have been terminated
(TPR) | 2,633 | 1,817 | 2,237 | 1,613 |
Age of Waiting Children (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Under 1 Year | 6.1 | 4.3 | 7.8 | 6.4 |
| 1-5 years | 40.6 | 38.9 | 39.6 | 39.3 |
| 6-10 years | 34.6 | 32.7 | 30.1 | 28.7 |
| 11-15 years | 18.3 | 22.9 | 21.8 | 24.4 |
| 16+ years | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Unknown / Missing data | 0 | -- | -- | 0.1 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
3,051
|
2,370
|
2,553
|
2,150
|
Race/Ethnicity of Waiting Children (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Alaska Native/American
Indian | 2.3 | 2 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Asian | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Black | 11.4 | 10.6 | 9 | 7.7 |
| Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific
Islander | N/A | -- | -- | -- |
| Hispanic | 33.1 | 37 | 36.3 | 36 |
| White | 48.1 | 44.9 | 46.8 | 48.4 |
| Two or more races | N/A | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Unknown / Missing data | 5 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
3,051
|
2,370
|
2,553
|
2,150
|
|
| 6Waiting children are children who have a goal of adoption and/or whose parents'
rights have been terminated (TPR). Children 16 years and older with TPR, but with a goal of emancipation have been excluded
from the waiting children and TPR populations.Back |
E. Children Adopted (AFCARS Annual Adoption Database)
|
Age of Adopted Children (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Under 1 Year | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| 1-5 years | 44.8 | 44.5 | 49.1 | 48.7 |
| 6-10 years | 39 | 36.9 | 30.3 | 31.7 |
| 11-15 years | 14.5 | 16.6 | 17.5 | 16 |
| 16+ years | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
761
|
853
|
938
|
793
|
Race/Ethnicity of Adopted Children (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Alaska Native/American
Indian | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Asian | N/A | -- | -- | -- |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 0.3 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Black | 12.7 | 10.6 | 9.9 | 8.6 |
| Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific
Islander | N/A | -- | -- | -- |
| Hispanic | 28.1 | 25.8 | 38.3 | 40.6 |
| White | 55.8 | 56.4 | 43.7 | 42.7 |
| Two or more races | N/A | 4.8 | 6.4 | 6.3 |
| Unknown / Missing data | 0.1 | -- | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
761
|
853
|
938
|
793
|
|
Back to Top
Arizona [ Outcomes Data ]
1. Reduce Recurrence of Child Abuse and/or Neglect (NCANDS)
|
1.1 Recurrence of Maltreatment Within 6 Months (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Children without a recurrence | 95.2 | 93.9 | 96 | 96.5 |
| Children with one or more recurrences | 4.8 | 6.1 | 4 | 3.5 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
3,064
|
3,558
|
2,461
|
2,353
|
|

|
2. Reduce the Incidence of Child Abuse and/or Neglect in Foster Care
(NCANDS, AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database Jan-Sept)
|
2.1 Maltreatment in Foster Care (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Children maltreated while in foster care | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Children not maltreated while in foster care | 99.9 | 99.7 | 99.8 | 99.8 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
9,419
|
10,450
|
9,647
|
9,785
|
|

|
3. Increase Permanency for Children in Foster Care (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database: Fiscal Year Data)
|
3.1 Exits from Foster Care (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Adoption | 17.9 | 18.4 | 18.7 | 16.9 |
| Guardianship | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 12.9 |
| Reunification | 72.3 | 71.8 | 66.1 | 56.5 |
| Other | 9.3 | 9.3 | 9.5 | 13.7 |
| Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
4,853
|
5,056
|
4,729
|
4,763
|
Percent Exits from Foster Care
| | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 |  |  |  |  | | |
3.2 Exits of Disabled Children (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Adoption | 8.6 | 19.5 | 24 | 28 |
| Guardianship | -- | -- | 7 | 13.6 |
| Reunification | 81.4 | 72.7 | 57.3 | 37.4 |
| Other | 10 | 7.8 | 11.8 | 21 |
| Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
70
|
128
|
805
|
1,198
|
3.3 Exits of Children Over Age 12 at Entry (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Adoption | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Guardianship | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 7.2 |
| Reunification | 70.7 | 71.3 | 70.9 | 63.6 |
| Other | 27.4 | 27.6 | 24.5 | 28.6 |
| Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
1,333
|
1,312
|
1,298
|
1,331
|
3.4 Exits to Emancipation (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Children age 12 or younger at entry | 18.9 | 23.1 | 23.4 | 26.8 |
| Children older than 12 at entry | 81.1 | 76.9 | 76.6 | 73.2 |
| Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
444
|
450
|
363
|
396
|
|
|
3.5 Exits by Race/Ethnicity (%)
|
Alaska Native/A.I.
|
Asian
|
Asian/Pacific Islander
|
Black
|
Native Hawaiian/ Other P.I.
|
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Adoption | 9.3 | 13.6 | 5.1 | 4.6 | N/A | -- | -- | -- | 20 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23.8 | 20.9 | 17.1 | 15.8 | N/A | -- | -- | -- |
| Guardianship | -- | -- | 4.1 | 14.9 | N/A | -- | -- | -- | -- | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.4 | 0.2 | 7.1 | 13.5 | N/A | -- | -- | -- |
| Reunification | 82.5 | 81.7 | 83.2 | 68.2 | N/A | 83.3 | 100 | 100 | 10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 14.7 | 12.1 | 14.8 | 21.8 | N/A | -- | 100 | 100 |
| Other | 8.2 | 4.7 | 7.7 | 12.3 | N/A | 16.7 | -- | -- | -- | N/A | N/A | N/A | -- | -- | -- | -- | N/A | -- | -- | -- |
| Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- | N/A | -- | -- | -- | N/A | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | N/A | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | N/A | -- | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
183
|
191
|
196
|
195
|
N/A
|
6
|
3
|
12
|
10
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
463
|
479
|
467
|
436
|
N/A
|
--
|
6
|
1
|
| | | Hispanic
|
White
|
Unable to Determine
|
Two or More
Races
|
Missing Data
|
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Adoption | 17.6 | 16.2 | 22.7 | 19.8 | 18.7 | 20 | 17.3 | 16.4 | -- | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 11.6 | 19.5 | 26.9 | 26.6 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Guardianship | 0.4 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 13.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 6.1 | 12.1 | -- | -- | 2.4 | 11.2 | N/A | 1 | 7.5 | 17.9 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Reunification | 73.7 | 74.8 | 65.2 | 54.7 | 71.5 | 69.4 | 66.4 | 58.1 | 94.7 | 97.3 | 90.2 | 77 | 84.2 | 73.3 | 55.1 | 38.6 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Other | 8.4 | 8.4 | 7.3 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 10.2 | 10.2 | 13.4 | 5.3 | -- | 4.9 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 10.6 | 16.8 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | N/A | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Number
|
1,363
|
1,543
|
1,514
|
1,657
|
2,593
|
2,553
|
2,234
|
2,126
|
95
|
74
|
82
|
152
|
146
|
210
|
227
|
184
|
--
|
--
|
--
|
--
|
|
4. Reduce Time to Reunification Without Increasing Re-entry (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database: Fiscal Year Data)
|
4.1 Time to Reunification (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Less than 12 mos. | 68 | 71.5 | 73.7 | 83.9 |
| At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos. | 17.8 | 15 | 15 | 11.5 |
| At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos. | 6.7 | 8 | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos. | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 48 or more mos. | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1 |
| Missing data | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
3,511
|
3,632
|
3,127
|
2,689
|
4.2 Children Who Entered Foster Care (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Children entering care for the first time | 87.1 | 84.7 | 80.5 | 78.8 |
| Children re-entering care within 12 mos. of a prior episode | 10.7 | 11.5 | 13.8 | 13.1 |
| Children re-entering care more than 12 mos. after a prior episode | 2.2 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 8.2 |
| Missing data | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
4,372
|
4,644
|
4,515
|
5,069
|
|

|
5. Reduce Time in Foster Care to Adoption (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database: Fiscal Year Data)
|
5.1 Time to Adoption (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Less than 12 mos. | 8.4 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| At least 12 mos., but less than 24
mos. | 11.4 | 14.4 | 19.1 | 26.4 |
| At least 24 mos., but less than 36
mos. | 24.7 | 28.3 | 35.5 | 31.4 |
| At least 36 mos., but less than 48
mos. | 23.4 | 26.2 | 24 | 19.8 |
| 48 or more mos. | 32.1 | 27.3 | 16.9 | 20.3 |
| Missing data | -- | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
870
|
930
|
884
|
807
|
|

|
6. Increase Placement Stability (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)
|
6.1 Number of Placements by Time in Care (%)
|
Year
|
Children With 2 or
Fewer Placements
|
Children With 2 or Fewer Placements
|
Missing Data
|
Total %
|
Number
|
| Less than 12 mos. | 1999 | 81.9 | 13.9 | 4.2 | 100 | 4,921 |
| 2000 | 82.4 | 14.9 | 2.7 | 100 | 5,171 |
| 2001 | 82.4 | 16.2 | 1.4 | 100 | 5,037 |
| 2002 | 82.1 | 16.3 | 1.6 | 100 | 5,617 |
| At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos. | 1999 | 52.2 | 47 | 0.8 | 100 | 2,614 |
| 2000 | 51.5 | 47.9 | 0.6 | 100 | 2,121 |
| 2001 | 49.8 | 49.8 | 0.3 | 100 | 2,165 |
| 2002 | 51 | 48.9 | 0 | 100 | 2,241 |
| At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos. | 1999 | 38.4 | 61.3 | 0.3 | 100 | 1,697 |
| 2000 | 35.8 | 64 | 0.1 | 100 | 1,688 |
| 2001 | 35.9 | 64.1 | -- | 100 | 1,247 |
| 2002 | 32.9 | 67 | 0 | 100 | 1,108 |
| At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos. | 1999 | 33.8 | 65.7 | 0.5 | 100 | 935 |
| 2000 | 28.4 | 71.5 | 0 | 100 | 1,006 |
| 2001 | 26.6 | 73.4 | -- | 100 | 913 |
| 2002 | 20 | 80 | -- | 100 | 610 |
| 48 or more mos. | 1999 | 31.1 | 68.8 | 0.2 | 100 | 1,697 |
| 2000 | 23.5 | 76.3 | 0.2 | 100 | 1,530 |
| 2001 | 16.2 | 83.8 | -- | 100 | 1,404 |
| 2002 | 12.2 | 87.8 | -- | 100 | 1,375 |
| Missing data | 1999 | 78.3 | -- | 21.7 | 100 | 23 |
| 2000 | 66.7 | -- | 33.3 | 100 | 15 |
| 2001 | 15.4 | -- | 84.6 | 100 | 13 |
| 2002 | 87 | -- | 13 | 100 | 23 |
|

|
7. Reduce Placements of Young Children in Group Homes or Institutions (AFCARS Annual Foster Care
Database)
|
7.1 Most Recent Placement Settings of Children Who Entered Care During the
Fiscal Year and Were Age 12 or Younger at the Time of This Placement (%)
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
2002
|
| Group homes | 5.7 | 6.6 | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| Institutions | 17.3 | 20.6 | 23.1 | 23.5 |
| Other settings | 63.4 | 67 | 68.5 | 67.2 |
| Missing data | 13.7 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Number
|
3,124
|
3,292
|
3,138
|
3,544
|
|
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Arizona [ Federal Comment ]
The following discussion focuses on Arizona’s performance with regard to each of the outcomes assessed in the Child Welfare
Outcomes Annual Reports to Congress. The Arizona Child and Family Services Review (CFSR) was completed in fiscal year (FY)
2001, and compliance with the national standards was based on data from 1999. The final report for that review is available from
the
Child Welfare Monitoring Documents Library. A discussion of the implications of CFSR findings for Arizona’s performance on the
Report to Congress Outcomes is provided in
Child Welfare Outcomes 2000.
The Federal Comment includes an examination of State performance in 2002 and the percent change in performance from
1999 to 2002. A difference in percent change from 1999 to 2002 that was less than 5.0 in either direction was considered to
represent “no change in performance.” With the exception of outcome measure 2.1, the data presented in the Report to
Congress are rounded to one decimal. However, the percent change in performance was calculated using data rounded to two
decimals. Measure 2.1 is rounded to two decimals because the national standard is less than one percent. Key findings of the
analyses of national data pertaining to State variation in performance on the outcome measures are incorporated into a State’s
Federal Comment when relevant.
Outcome 1. Reduce recurrence of child abuse and/or neglect
In calendar year (CY) 2002, Arizona’s rate of maltreatment recurrence within 6 months was 3.5 percent, which is less than both the
national standard (6.1 percent or less) and the national median (7.5 percent). Performance on this measure improved from 1999 to
2002 (-27.1 percent change).
The cross-State analysis found a substantial positive relationship between State performance on this outcome measure and
State performance on the rate of child victims (i.e., the number of child victims per 1,000 children in the population). States
with relatively low rates of child victims tended to have relatively low rates of maltreatment recurrence. For Arizona, both the
incidence of maltreatment recurrence (3.5 percent) and the rate of child victims (3.5 children per 1,000 in the population) were
in the bottom quartile of the State rankings. This suggests that the State’s policies and laws pertaining to what constitutes
maltreatment and what is necessary for substantiation may be related to its rate of maltreatment recurrence.
Outcome 2. Reduce the incidence of child abuse and/or neglect in foster care
In CY 2002, Arizona’s incidence of maltreatment in foster care was 0.25 percent, which is less than both the national standard of
0.57 percent or less and the national median of 0.39 percent. However, performance on this measure declined from 1999 to 2002
(+161.64 percent change). This change in performance is difficult to interpret, because only 9 children were reported in 1999 as
victims of maltreatment in foster care compared to 24 children reported as victims in 2002.
Outcome 3. Increase permanency for children in foster care
In FY 2002, 86.3 percent of children exiting foster care in Arizona were discharged to a permanent home (which is about equal to
the national median of 86.1 percent); 79.0 percent of children with a diagnosed disability who exited foster care were discharged to a
permanent home (which is about equal to the national median of 79.8 percent); and 71.4 percent of children exiting foster care who
were older than age 12 at entry into foster care were discharged to a permanent home (which is about equal to the national median
of 72.0 percent). In addition, 26.8 percent of the children exiting foster care through emancipation were age 12 or younger at the
time of entry into foster care, which is about equal to the national median of 26.9 percent. This suggests that the State experiences
some success in achieving permanency for children exiting foster care. There was no change in performance from FY 1999 to FY
2002 with regard to the percentage of all children discharged to a permanent home, and the percentage of children discharged to a
permanent home who were older than age 12 when they entered foster care. However, performance declined over this time period
with regard to: (1) the percentage of children with a diagnosed disability discharged to a permanent home (-12.2 percent change), and
(2) the percentage of children emancipated from foster care who were age 12 or younger when they entered foster care (+45.5
percent change).
Outcome 4. Reduce time to reunification without increasing re-entry
In FY 2002, the percentage of all reunifications in Arizona occurring within 12 months of a child’s entry into foster care was 83.9,
which is more than both the national standard (76.2 percent or more) and the national median (68.0 percent). Performance with
regard to reunifications within 12 months improved from FY 1999 to FY 2002 (+23.4 percent change).
Because the cross-State analyses of performance on this measure found a substantial positive relationship between the percentage of
reunifications within 12 months and the percentage of children entering foster care who were re-entering within 12 months of a
prior episode, Arizona’s performance with regard to reunifications within 12 months must be considered in the context of its reentry
rate. For Arizona, the percentage of children entering foster care in FY 2002 who were re-entering within 12 months of a
discharge from a prior foster care episode was 13.1, which is more than both the national standard (8.6 percent or less) and the
national median (9.9 percent). Performance on this measure declined from FY 1999 to FY 2002 (+22.3 percent change). Thus,
although Arizona had a relatively high percentage of reunifications in FY 2002 occurring within 12 months of entry into foster care,
the State also had a relatively high percentage of children entering foster care who were re-entering within 12 months of a prior
episode.
Outcome 5. Reduce time in foster care to adoption
In FY 2002, the percentage of all finalized adoptions occurring within 24 months of a child’s entry into foster care was 28.5, which
does not meet the national standard (32.0 percent or more) but is more than the national median (23.0 percent). Change in
performance on this measure is assessed from FY 2000 to FY 2002 due to data quality issues for many States for this measure in FY
1999. Arizona’s performance on this measure improved from FY 2000 to FY 2002 (+56.8 percent change).
Outcome 6. Increase placement stability
In FY 2002, the percentage of children who experienced no more than 2 placement settings during their first 12 months in foster
care was 82.1, which is less than both the national standard (86.7 percent or more) and the national median (84.1 percent). Arizona’s
performance on this measure exhibited no change from FY 1999 to FY 2002.
Outcome 7. Reduce placements of young children in group homes and institutions
In FY 2002, the percentage of children age 12 or younger entering foster care who were placed in a group home or institution was
31.9, which was the second highest percentage in the Nation. In addition, Arizona’s performance on this measure declined from FY
1999 to FY 2002 (+39.0 percent).
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