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North Carolina

Context Data | Outcomes Data | Federal Comment

North Carolina [ Context Data ]

A. Key Context Statistics


General Population
(Census Bureau)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Total children under 18 years

1,940,947

2,002,413

2,028,146

2,068,840

Race/ethnicity (%)1, 2

 

 

 

 

Alaska Native/American Indian1.71.51.41.4
AsianN/A1.61.71.7
Asian/Pacific Islander1.7N/AN/AN/A
Black26.426.226.125.9
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/AN/A00
Hispanic3.66.16.57
White66.662.562.662.2
Two or more racesN/A1.81.61.7
OtherN/A0.300

% Child population in poverty

18

18.5

16.4

20.3



Child Welfare Summary

1999

2000

2002

2002

Child maltreatment victims336,97636,18636,60135,523
Children in foster care on 9/3011,33910,84710,1309,527
Children adopted9491,3371,3271,324


1The convention for the data tables is the following: N/A in the data table means that the category was not applicable for the specific year. A dash (-) means that there is "no value" or the category is a true zero (that is, no children were reported as being in that category). A zero (0) means that there is a value for the category, but the value is less than 0.1 percent.Back
2The multiple and overlapping race categories in this and subsequent race tables are due to changes in the Census Bureau categories beginning in 2000. Because the reporting of these categories is a relatively new process for States, changes in percentages over time may be due to data quality issues.Back
3A child victim is a child who is the subject of a substantiated or indicated maltreatment report. Children with more than one report of substantiated or indicated maltreatment may be counted more than once.Back

B. Child Maltreatment Data (NCANDS)


 

Number

Rate

Maltreatment Information Overview

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children subject of an investigated report alleging child maltreatment 127,522123,043122,354127,70265.7 per 1,00061.5 per 1,00060.3 per 1,00061.7 per 1,000
Child maltreatment victims36,97636,18636,60135,52319.1 per 1,00018.1 per 1,00018.0 per 1,00017.2 per 1,000
Child fatalities210----1.1 per 100,0000.0 per 100,000-- per 100,000-- per 100,000


Age of Child Victims (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Under 1 Year1.79.59.49.8
1-5 years32.832.533.233.3
6-10 years32.431.730.428.9
11-15 years24.52323.324.1
16+ years8.53.43.73.9
Unknown / Missing data0000
Total %100100100100

Number

36,976

36,186

36,601

35,523



Race/Ethnicity of Child Victims (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Alaska Native/American Indian2.41.91.71.7
Asian/Pacific Islander1.10.70.90.9
Black37.936.636.234
Hispanic6.98.27.98.4
White57.151.852.253.7
Two or more races0.20.70.80.9
Total %4106.9100100100

Number

36,976

36,186

36,601

35,523



Maltreatment Type of Child Victims (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Emotional Abuse0.30.30.30.3
Medical Neglect2.52.12.32.1
Neglect87.889.99090.3
Physical Abuse3.63.93.73.5
Sexual Abuse3.73.53.43.5
Unknown / Missing data0----0
Other2.10.40.40.4
Total %5100100100100

Number

36,976

36,186

36,601

35,523



4Percentages may total more than 100 percent because Hispanics may be counted both by Hispanic ethnicity and by race.Back
5Percentages may total more than 100 percent because children could have been victims of more than one type of maltreatment.Back

C. Children in Foster Care (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)


Number of Children

In Care on 10/1

Entered Care

Exited Care

In Care on 9/30

Total Served

FY1999 (10/1/98 - 9/30/99)10,2655,3914,31711,33915,656
FY2000 (10/1/99 - 9/30/00)9,8705,4584,48110,84715,328
FY2001 (10/1/00 - 9/30/01)10,0685,3015,23910,13015,369
FY2002 (10/1/01 - 9/30/02)9,3165,6155,4049,52714,931

Median Length of Stay (Months)

 

FY1999 (10/1/98 - 9/30/99)16.9N/A1317.9N/A
FY2000 (10/1/99 - 9/30/00)17.7N/A14.916.4N/A
FY2001 (10/1/00 - 9/30/01)16.5N/A14.716.3N/A
FY2002 (10/1/01 - 9/30/02)15.8N/A13.714N/A


Age of Children in Foster Care (%)

In Care On: 10/1/98

In Care On: 10/1/99

In Care On: 10/1/00

In Care On: 10/1/01

Entered Care During FY: 1999

Entered Care During FY: 2000

Entered Care During FY: 2001

Entered Care During FY: 2002

Exited Care During FY: 1999

Exited Care During FY: 2000

Exited Care During FY:2001

Exited Care During FY: 2002

In Care On: 9/30/99

In Care On: 9/30/00

In Care On: 9/30/01

In Care On: 9/30/02

Under 1 Year4.64.35.15.215.11615.416.34.74.23.84.54.35.155.8
1-5 years27.126.525.626.426.525.728.32829.329.730.931.926.325.826.326.7
6-10 years26.426.52523.724.223.323.422.124.22524.722.226.324.823.522.4
11-15 years29.529.93130.829.229.626.826.924.623.223.82429.430.630.329.9
16-18 years11.512.112.513.14.95.35.96.615.916.815.716.312.912.913.914.4
19+ years0.60.60.60.6000.10.11.10.9110.70.70.80.8
Unknown / Missing data0.20.20.20.10.10.10.100.10.30.20.10.20.20.20.1
Total %100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100

Number

10,265

9,870

10,068

9,316

5,391

5,458

5,301

5,615

4,317

4,481

5,239

5,404

11,339

10,847

10,130

9,527



Race/Ethnicity of Children in Foster Care (%)

In Care On: 10/1/98

In Care On: 10/1/99

In Care On: 10/1/00

In Care On: 10/1/01

Entered Care During FY: 1999

Entered Care During FY: 2000

Entered Care During FY: 2001

Entered Care During FY: 2002

Exited Care During FY: 1999

Exited Care During FY: 2000

Exited Care During FY:2001

Exited Care During FY: 2002

In Care On: 9/30/99

In Care On: 9/30/00

In Care On: 9/30/01

In Care On: 9/30/02

Alaska Native/American Indian1.51.92.32.12.63.52.62.12.433.22.81.72.321.7
AsianN/A0.30.20.3N/A0.30.40.6N/A0.40.20.5N/A0.20.30.3
Asian/Pacific Islander0.3N/AN/AN/A0.3N/AN/AN/A0.4N/AN/AN/A0.2N/AN/AN/A
Black53.150.949.347.441.641.538.738.145.143.843.542.550.749.146.844.7
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/A000.1N/A0.20.30.2N/A00.10.2N/A0.10.20.1
Hispanic5.66.25.65.77.96.58.87.46.67.67.67.46.35.86.25.7
White39.239.941.242.747.146.847.549.645.244.344.244.940.741.642.945.5
Two or more racesN/A0.511.7N/A1.21.71.7N/A0.40.91.4N/A0.91.41.9
Unknown / Missing data0.40.40.20.10.40.100.30.30.40.20.20.40.20.20.2
Total %100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100

Number

10,265

9,870

10,068

9,316

5,391

5,458

5,301

5,615

4,317

4,481

5,239

5,404

11,339

10,847

10,130

9,527



D. Children Waiting to be Adopted (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)6


Overview

9/30/99

9/30/00

9/30/01

9/30/02

Children waiting to be adopted3,6033,7153,3373,133
Children whose parents' rights have been terminated (TPR)1,7572,1342,0471,822


Age of Waiting Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Under 1 Year2.72.82.72.9
1-5 years31.129.727.727.1
6-10 years33.931.929.526.4
11-15 years26.328.531.834.5
16+ years5.16.67.78.7
Unknown / Missing data0.90.50.60.4
Total %100100100100

Number

3,603

3,715

3,337

3,133



Race/Ethnicity of Waiting Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Alaska Native/American Indian1.41.61.51.4
AsianN/A0.30.30.4
Asian/Pacific Islander0.1N/AN/AN/A
Black53.553.95247.2
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/A000.1
Hispanic5.95.75.14.8
White38.537.139.143.3
Two or more racesN/A11.62.6
Unknown / Missing data0.60.30.40.3
Total %100100100100

Number

3,603

3,715

3,337

3,133



6Waiting children are children who have a goal of adoption and/or whose parents' rights have been terminated (TPR). Children 16 years and older with TPR, but with a goal of emancipation have been excluded from the waiting children and TPR populations.Back

E. Children Adopted (AFCARS Annual Adoption Database)


Age of Adopted Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Under 1 Year3.8442.8
1-5 years46.444.945.446.5
6-10 years3233.529.828.2
11-15 years16.215.317.618.8
16+ years1.62.22.73.2
Total %100100100100

Number

949

1,337

1,327

1,324



Race/Ethnicity of Adopted Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Alaska Native/American Indian0.61.21.91.4
AsianN/A0.50.50.2
Asian/Pacific Islander0.5N/AN/AN/A
Black51.644.948.243.9
Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific IslanderN/A--0.2--
Hispanic4.16.75.76.3
White41.842.93740.8
Two or more racesN/A3.15.86.8
Unknown / Missing data1.30.70.80.6
Total %100100100100

Number

949

1,337

1,327

1,324



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North Carolina [ Outcomes Data ]

1. Reduce Recurrence of Child Abuse and/or Neglect (NCANDS)

1.1 Recurrence of Maltreatment Within 6 Months (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children without a recurrence9291.591.591
Children with one or more recurrences88.58.59
Total %100100100100

Number

14,159

15,841

16,315

15,834



Graph of the Recurrence of Maltreatment Within 6 Months

2. Reduce the Incidence of Child Abuse and/or Neglect in Foster Care (NCANDS, AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database Jan-Sept)

2.1 Maltreatment in Foster Care (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children maltreated while in foster care0.81.51.11
Children not maltreated while in foster care99.298.598.999.1
Total %100100100100

Number

14,447

14,121

13,986

13,710



Graph of the Occurance of Maltreatment in Foster Care

3. Increase Permanency for Children in Foster Care (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)

3.1 Exits from Foster Care (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption16.32325.323.2
Guardianship108.89.612.2
Reunification64.657.65655.8
Other9.110.69.18.8
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

4,317

4,481

5,239

5,404



Percent Exits from Foster Care

1999200020012002
Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 1999Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 2000Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 2001Graph of Exits from Foster Care in 2002
 

3.2 Exits of Disabled Children (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption24.12727.823.9
Guardianship86.811.111.5
Reunification53.345.844.146.3
Other14.720.51718.2
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

565

533

583

615



3.3 Exits of Children Over Age 12 at Entry (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption0.80.92.42.6
Guardianship7.85.78.29
Reunification70.668.767.966.5
Other20.824.721.521.9
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

1,024

1,088

1,193

1,240



3.4 Exits to Emancipation (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children age 12 or younger at entry33.228.533.832.6
Children older than 12 at entry66.871.566.267.4
Missing data--------
Total %100100100100

Number

244

277

302

328



3.5 Exits by Race/Ethnicity (%)

Alaska Native/A.I.

Asian

Asian/Pacific Islander

Black

Native Hawaiian/ Other P.I.

 

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption3.811.319.812.6N/A5.336.420.711.1N/AN/AN/A17.724.428.526.2N/A--57.1--
Guardianship40.433.829.929.8N/A5.39.16.9--N/AN/AN/A10.37.99.812.3N/A--14.3--
Reunification53.843.646.148.3N/A78.954.569--N/AN/AN/A9.111.910.99.4N/A7528.6100
Other1.911.34.29.3N/A10.5--3.4--N/AN/AN/A--------N/A25----
Missing data--------N/A------N/A------
Total %100100100100N/A100100100100N/AN/AN/A100100100100N/A100100100

Number

104

133

167

151

N/A

19

11

29

18

N/A

N/A

N/A

1,946

1,963

2,277

2,297

N/A

4

7

12

 

 

Hispanic

White

Unable to Determine

Two or More Races

Missing Data

 

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

1999

2000

2001

2002

Adoption11.621.423.116.816.422.622.421.723.147.136.427.3N/A2540.837.7--------
Guardianship10.279.398.28.38.211.7--17.6--27.3N/A20--7.8--------
Reunification71.260.761.267.965.759.86157.876.917.663.645.5N/A5055.146.8--------
Other710.96.56.39.89.38.48.8--17.6----N/A54.17.8--------
Missing data------------------------N/A--------------
Total %100100100100100100100100100100100100N/A100100100--------

Number

285

341

399

399

1,951

1,984

2,318

2,428

13

17

11

11

N/A

20

49

77

--

--

--

--



4. Reduce Time to Reunification Without Increasing Re-entry (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)

4.1 Time to Reunification (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Less than 12 mos.57.759.26060.2
At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos.24.123.124.525.1
At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos.9.49.17.97.7
At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos.3.84.33.23.1
48 or more mos.4.744.13.7
Missing data0.40.20.30.2
Total %100100100100

Number

2,789

2,579

2,932

3,017



Graph of Time to Reunification



4.2 Children Who Entered Foster Care (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Children entering care for the first time97.997.597.797.6
Children re-entering care within 12 mos. of a prior episode1.21.31.11.2
Children re-entering care more than 12 mos. after a prior episode0.91.31.11.2
Missing data0--00
Total %100100100100

Number

5,391

5,458

5,301

5,615



Graph of Re-entries Into Foster Care

5. Reduce Time in Foster Care to Adoption (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database:  Fiscal Year Data)

5.1 Time to Adoption (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Less than 12 mos.8.56.256.3
At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos.17.421.324.625.3
At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos.28.928.125.527.3
At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos.181920.117.2
48 or more mos.27.125.524.823.9
Missing data----0.1--
Total %100100100100

Number

705

1,029

1,326

1,252



Graph of Time to Adoption

6. Increase Placement Stability (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)

6.1 Number of Placements by Time in Care (%)

Year

Children With 2 or Fewer Placements

Children With 2 or Fewer Placements

Missing Data

Total %

Number

Less than 12 mos.199961.338.7--1006,260
200057.742.3--1006,312
200159.540.5--1006,343
200257.742.3--1006,707
At least 12 mos., but less than 24 mos.199941.558.5--1003,523
200038.961.1--1003,329
200133.466.6--1003,548
200237.162.9--1003,325
At least 24 mos., but less than 36 mos.199939.960.1--1002,205
200030.869.2--1002,074
200127.672.4--1001,901
200220.879.2--1001,806
At least 36 mos., but less than 48 mos.199937.862.2--1001,184
200031.868.2--1001,287
20012377--1001,267
200215.884.2--1001,004
48 or more mos.19993565--1002,453
200029.770.3--1002,313
200124.575.5--1002,287
200216.583.5--1002,075
Missing data199980.619.4--10031
200084.615.4--10013
200191.38.7--10023
200292.97.1--10014


Graph of Children Experiencing 2 or Fewer Placements

7. Reduce Placements of Young Children in Group Homes or Institutions (AFCARS Annual Foster Care Database)

7.1 Most Recent Placement Settings of Children Who Entered Care During the Fiscal Year and Were Age 12 or Younger at the Time of This Placement (%)

1999

2000

2001

2002

Group homes33.332.8
Institutions3.73.634.7
Other settings93.29393.992.5
Missing data0.10.10.1--
Total %100100100100

Number

3,950

3,963

3,968

4,130



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North Carolina [ Federal Comment ]

The following discussion focuses on North Carolina’s performance with regard to each of the outcomes assessed in the Child Welfare Outcomes Annual Reports to Congress. North Carolina’s Child and Family Services Review (CFSR) was completed in fiscal year (FY) 2001, and compliance with the national standards was based on data from 1999. The final report for that review is available from the Child Welfare Monitoring Documents Library. A discussion of the implications of CFSR findings for North Carolina’s performance on the Report to Congress Outcomes is provided in Child Welfare Outcomes 2000.

The Federal Comment includes an examination of State performance in 2002 and the percent change in performance from 1999 to 2002. A difference in percent change from 1999 to 2002 that was less than 5.0 in either direction was considered to represent “no change in performance.” With the exception of outcome measure 2.1, the data presented in the Report to Congress are rounded to one decimal. However, the percent change in performance was calculated using data rounded to two decimals. Measure 2.1 is rounded to two decimals because the national standard is less than one percent. Key findings of the analyses of national data pertaining to State variation in performance on the outcome measures are incorporated into a State’s Federal Comment when relevant.

Outcome 1. Reduce recurrence of child abuse and/or neglect
In calendar year (CY) 2002, North Carolina’s rate of maltreatment recurrence within 6 months was 9.0 percent, which is more than both the national standard (6.1 percent or less) and the national median (7.5 percent). Performance on this measure declined from 1999 to 2002 (+12 percent change).

The cross-State analyses found a substantial positive relationship between State performance on this outcome measure and the rate of child victims (i.e., the number of child victims per 1,000 children in the population). States with a relatively high rate of child victims tended to have a relatively high rate of maltreatment recurrence. For North Carolina, both the incidence of maltreatment recurrence (9.0 percent) and the rate of child victims (17.2 per 1,000 children in the population) were in the top quartile of the State rankings.

The cross-State analyses also found a small, but definite, positive relationship between performance on this outcome measure and the percentage of child victims in the State experiencing neglect. States with a relatively high percentage of child victims experiencing neglect tended to have a relatively high percentage of maltreatment recurrence. For North Carolina, both the incidence of maltreatment recurrence (9.0 percent) and the percentage of child victims experiencing neglect (90.3 percent) were in the top quartile of the State rankings. These findings suggest that a State’s definitions and laws pertaining to what constitutes maltreatment and what is necessary for substantiation may be related to the State’s performance on the outcome measure assessing maltreatment recurrence.

Outcome 2. Reduce the incidence of child abuse and/or neglect in foster care
In CY 2002, North Carolina’s incidence of maltreatment in foster care was 0.95 percent, which is more than both the national standard (0.57 percent or less) and the national median (0.39 percent). Performance on this measure declined from 1999 to 2002 (+14.37 percent change).

Outcome 3. Increase permanency for children in foster care
In FY 2002, 91.2 percent of children exiting foster care in North Carolina were discharged to a permanent home (which is more than the national median of 86.1 percent); 81.8 percent of children with a diagnosed disability who exited foster care were discharged to a permanent home (which is more than the national median of 79.8 percent); and 78.1 percent of children exiting foster are who were older than age 12 at entry into foster care were discharged to a permanent home (which is more than the national median of 72.0 percent). However, 32.6 percent of the children emancipating from foster care were age 12 or younger when they entered foster care, which is more than the national median of 26.9 percent. North Carolina’s performance on the measures for outcome 3 exhibited no change from FY 1999 to FY 2002. These finding suggest that in FY 2002, the State was generally successful in attaining permanency for children exiting foster care, although almost one-third of the children who exited foster care to emancipation may be said to have grown up in foster care.

Outcome 4. Reduce time to reunification without increasing re-entry
In FY 2002, the percentage of all reunifications in North Carolina occurring within 12 months of a child’s entry into foster care was 60.2, which is less than both the national standard (76.2 percent or more) and the national median (68.0 percent). Performance with regard to reunifications within 12 months did not change from FY 1999 to FY 2002.

Because the cross-State analyses found a substantial positive relationship between the percentage of reunifications within 12 months and the percentage of children entering foster care who were re-entering within 12 months of a prior episode, North Carolina’s performance in FY 2002 with regard to reunifications within 12 months must be considered in the context of its re-entry rate. For North Carolina, the percentage of children entering foster care in FY 2002 who were re-entering within 12 months of a discharge from a prior foster care episode was 1.2, which was the lowest percentage in the Nation. Thus, although North Carolina had a relatively low percentage of reunifications occurring with 12 months of the child’s entry into foster care, the State also had a very low percentage of children entering foster care who were re-entering within 12 months of a prior episode. Performance on the measure of foster care re-entry exhibited no change from FY 1999 to 2002.

Outcome 5. Reduce time in foster care to adoption
In FY 2002, the percentage of all finalized adoptions occurring within 24 months of a child’s entry into foster care was 31.6, which is close to the national standard (32.0 percent or more), and is more than the national median (23.0 percent). Change in performance on this measure is assessed from FY 2000 to FY 2002 due to data quality issues for many States for this measure in FY 1999. North Carolina’s performance on this measure improved from FY 2000 to FY 2002 (+15.0 percent change).

Outcome 6. Increase placement stability
In FY 2002, the percentage of children who experienced no more than 2 placement settings during their first 12 months in foster care was 57.7, which is less than both the national standard (86.7 percent or more) and the national median (84.1 percent). This percentage is the second lowest percentage in the Nation. North Carolina’s performance on this measure declined slightly from FY 1999 to FY 2002 (-5.9 percent change).

Outcome 7. Reduce placements of young children in group homes and institutions
In FY 2002, the percentage of children age 12 or younger placed in a group home or institution was 7.5, which is less than the national median of 8.6 percent. However, North Carolina’s performance on this measure declined from FY 1999 to FY 2002 (+12.7 percent change).

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