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Report on Meta-Analysis of Welfare to Work Programs

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  1. INTRODUCTION
  2. BACKGROUND
  3. 2.1 PREVIOUS RELATED RESEARCH
    2.2 THE DATABASE
    2.3 COMPONENTS OF THE CURRENT RESEARCH
  4. META-ANALYSIS
  5. 3.1 WEIGHTING
    3.2 STEPS IN CONDUCTING THE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE PROGRAM EFFECT ESTIMATES
  6. FINDINGS OF THE DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS
  7. 4.1 EARNINGS
    4.2 PERCENTAGE EMPLOYED
    4.3 AMOUNT OF AFDC PAYMENT
    4.4 PERCENTAGE PARTICIPATING IN AFDC
    4.5 DESCRIPTION OF THE TESTED INTERVENTIONS, TARGET POPULATIONS, AND SITES
  8. HYPOTHESES TESTED IN THE REGRESSION ANALYSES
  9. 5.1 INTERVENTION CHARACTERISTICS
    5.2 CHARACTERISTICS OF THE TARGET POPULATION
    5.3 SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AT THE SITES
    5.4 SELECTING EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FOR THE REGRESSION ANALYSIS
    5.5 OMITTED AND MISSPECIFIED VARIABLES
  10. BASIC REGRESSION FINDINGS
  11. 6.1 SANCTIONS
    6.2 JOB SEARCH
    6.3 BASIC EDUCATION
    6.4 VOCATIONAL EDUCATION
    6.5 WORK EXPERIENCE
    6.6 FINANCIAL INCENTIVES
    6.7 TIME LIMITS
    6.8 NUMBER OF YEARS SINCE 1982
    6.9 ONE-PARENT FAMILIES VERSUS TWO-PARENT FAMILIES
    6.10 AVERAGE AGE OF THE TARGET GROUP
    6.11 PERCENT OF THE TARGET GROUP EMPLOYED THE YEAR PRIOR TO RANDOM ASSIGNMENT
    6.12 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN LOCAL MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT
    6.13 POVERTY RATE
    6.14 MAXIMUM AFDC PAYMENTS
    6.15 SUMMARY OF KEY FINDINGS
  12. SENSITIVITY ANALYSES
  13. THE PREDICTIVE ABILITY OF THE REGRESSIONS
  14. PROGRAM IMPACTS OVER TIME
  15. ANALYSIS OF OUTLIERS
  16. 10.1 THE PREVALENCE OF OUTLIER PROGRAMS AND OUTLIER ESTIMATES
    10.2 SEPARATING POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE OUTLIERS
    10.3 WHAT CAUSES TYPE B OUTLIERS TO OCCUR?
  17. ANALYSIS OF BENEFIT-COST FINDINGS
  18. 11.1 DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS
    11.2 REGRESSION ANALYSIS
  19. ANALYSIS OF SUBGROUPS
  20. 12.1 CAVEATS
    12.2 THREE TYPES OF ANALYSES
    12.3 FINDINGS FOR THE COMPARISON OF UNADJUSTED MEANS FOR THE PURE-SUBGROUPS
    12.4 FINDINGS FOR QUARTER 7 DIFFERENCES IN MEANS BETWEEN SUBGROUPS
  21. ANALYSIS OF CHILD OUTCOMES
  22. 13.1 EVALUATIONS THAT MEASURED CHILD OUTCOME
    13.2 A META-ANALYSIS OF PROGRAM EFFECTS ON CHILDREN
    13.3 FINDINGS
    13.4 REGRESSION FINDINGS
    13.5 SUMMARY OF KEY FINDINGS
  23. VOLUNTARY PROGRAMS
  24. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS
  25. 15.1 IMPACTS OF MANDATORY WELFARE-TO-WORK INTERVENTIONS
    15.2 WHAT MAKES WELFARE-TO-WORK INTERVENTIONS SUCCESSFUL
    15.3 EFFECTIVENESS FOR SUB-GROUPS
    15.4 PROGRAM IMPACTS OVER TIME
    15.5 ANALYSIS OF OUTLIERS
    15.6 COSTS AND BENEFITS
    15.7 CHILD OUTCOMES
    15.8 VOLUNTARY PROBLEMS
    15.9 CONCLUSIONS: LESSONS FOR POLICY AND ANALYSIS

TABLES

BIBLIOGRAPHY

APPENDIX A

APPENDIX B

APPENDIX TABLES



 

 

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