Report on Meta-Analysis of Welfare to Work Programs
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- INTRODUCTION
- BACKGROUND
| 2.1 |
PREVIOUS RELATED RESEARCH |
| 2.2 |
THE DATABASE |
| 2.3 |
COMPONENTS OF THE CURRENT RESEARCH |
- META-ANALYSIS
| 3.1 |
WEIGHTING |
| 3.2 |
STEPS IN CONDUCTING THE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE PROGRAM EFFECT ESTIMATES |
- FINDINGS OF THE DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS
| 4.1 |
EARNINGS |
| 4.2 |
PERCENTAGE EMPLOYED |
| 4.3 |
AMOUNT OF AFDC PAYMENT |
| 4.4 |
PERCENTAGE PARTICIPATING IN AFDC |
| 4.5 |
DESCRIPTION OF THE TESTED INTERVENTIONS, TARGET POPULATIONS, AND SITES |
- HYPOTHESES TESTED IN THE REGRESSION ANALYSES
| 5.1 |
INTERVENTION CHARACTERISTICS |
| 5.2 |
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE TARGET POPULATION |
| 5.3 |
SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AT THE SITES |
| 5.4 |
SELECTING EXPLANATORY VARIABLES FOR THE REGRESSION ANALYSIS |
| 5.5 |
OMITTED AND MISSPECIFIED VARIABLES |
- BASIC REGRESSION FINDINGS
| 6.1 |
SANCTIONS |
| 6.2 |
JOB SEARCH |
| 6.3 |
BASIC EDUCATION |
| 6.4 |
VOCATIONAL EDUCATION |
| 6.5 |
WORK EXPERIENCE |
| 6.6 |
FINANCIAL INCENTIVES |
| 6.7 |
TIME LIMITS |
| 6.8 |
NUMBER OF YEARS SINCE 1982 |
| 6.9 |
ONE-PARENT FAMILIES VERSUS TWO-PARENT FAMILIES |
| 6.10 |
AVERAGE AGE OF THE TARGET GROUP |
| 6.11 |
PERCENT OF THE TARGET GROUP EMPLOYED THE YEAR PRIOR TO RANDOM ASSIGNMENT |
| 6.12 |
ANNUAL PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN LOCAL MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT |
| 6.13 |
POVERTY RATE |
| 6.14 |
MAXIMUM AFDC PAYMENTS |
| 6.15 |
SUMMARY OF KEY FINDINGS |
- SENSITIVITY ANALYSES
- THE PREDICTIVE ABILITY OF THE REGRESSIONS
- PROGRAM IMPACTS OVER TIME
- ANALYSIS OF OUTLIERS
| 10.1 |
THE PREVALENCE OF OUTLIER PROGRAMS AND OUTLIER ESTIMATES |
| 10.2 |
SEPARATING POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE OUTLIERS |
| 10.3 |
WHAT CAUSES TYPE B OUTLIERS TO OCCUR? |
- ANALYSIS OF BENEFIT-COST FINDINGS
| 11.1 |
DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS |
| 11.2 |
REGRESSION ANALYSIS |
- ANALYSIS OF SUBGROUPS
| 12.1 |
CAVEATS |
| 12.2 |
THREE TYPES OF ANALYSES |
| 12.3 |
FINDINGS FOR THE COMPARISON OF UNADJUSTED MEANS FOR THE PURE-SUBGROUPS |
| 12.4 |
FINDINGS FOR QUARTER 7 DIFFERENCES IN MEANS BETWEEN SUBGROUPS |
- ANALYSIS OF CHILD OUTCOMES
| 13.1 |
EVALUATIONS THAT MEASURED CHILD OUTCOME |
| 13.2 |
A META-ANALYSIS OF PROGRAM EFFECTS ON CHILDREN |
| 13.3 |
FINDINGS |
| 13.4 |
REGRESSION FINDINGS |
| 13.5 |
SUMMARY OF KEY FINDINGS |
- VOLUNTARY PROGRAMS
- SUMMARY OF FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS
| 15.1 |
IMPACTS OF MANDATORY WELFARE-TO-WORK INTERVENTIONS |
| 15.2 |
WHAT MAKES WELFARE-TO-WORK INTERVENTIONS SUCCESSFUL |
| 15.3 |
EFFECTIVENESS FOR SUB-GROUPS |
| 15.4 |
PROGRAM IMPACTS OVER TIME |
| 15.5 |
ANALYSIS OF OUTLIERS |
| 15.6 |
COSTS AND BENEFITS |
| 15.7 |
CHILD OUTCOMES |
| 15.8 |
VOLUNTARY PROBLEMS |
| 15.9 |
CONCLUSIONS: LESSONS FOR POLICY AND ANALYSIS |
TABLES
BIBLIOGRAPHY
APPENDIX A
APPENDIX B
APPENDIX TABLES